Does Privatization Hurt Workers?
Lessons from Comprehensive Manufacturing Firm Panel Data
in Hungary, Romania, Russia, and Ukraine
Upjohn Institute Staff Working Paper 05-125
J. David Brown
Heriot-Watt University
John S. Earle, Senior Economist
W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research
Central European University
e-mail: earle@upjohninstitute.org
Álmos Telegdy
Central European University
Institute of Economics of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences
November 2005
Revised February 2006
JEL Classification Codes: D21, G34, J23, J31, L33, P31
Abstract
We estimate the effects of privatization on firm-level wages and employment in four transition
economies. Applied to longitudinal data on manufacturing firms, our fixed effect and random
trend models consistently fail to support workers’ fears of job losses from privatization, and they
never imply large negative effects on wages; only for domestic privatization in Hungary and
Russia are small (3-5%) negative wage effects found. Privatization to foreign investors has
positive estimated impacts on both employment and wages in all four countries. The negligible
consequences of domestic privatization for workers result from effects on scale, productivity,
and costs that are large but offsetting in Hungary and Romania, and from small effects of all
types in Russia and Ukraine. The positive employment outcome under foreign ownership results
from a substantial scale-expansion effect that dominates the productivity-improvement effect,
and the positive wage outcome from a productivity effect that dominates the effect on cost reduction.
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